Prospect board, #177 overall
Amadeus Lombardi
Centre, 23.3 years old, Grand Rapids Griffins (AHL), 5′11″ 180 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
51%
Scouting report
Amadeus Lombardi is a 23-year-old centre with Grand Rapids Griffins in the AHL, a New Jersey Devils fourth-round pick, 113 overall in 2022. He has 16 goals and 26 assists in 47 games, 0.89 a game, which works out to about 29 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 180 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 51% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 30 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer11%
- Fourth-liner (most likely)51%
- Tweener73%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.89 P/GP
16 G, 26 A in 47 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
29 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−10%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
23.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#113
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
30 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Grand Rapids Griffins | AHL | 47 | 16 | 26 | 42 | 0.89 |