GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1736 overall

Cade Littler

Centre, 22.2 years old, Arizona State Univ. (NCAA), 6′3″ 197 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

4%

Long shot

Scouting report

Cade Littler is a 22-year-old centre with Arizona State Univ. in the NCAA, a Calgary Flames seventh-round pick, 219 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 3 assists in 6 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 197 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner4%
  5. Tweener4%
  6. AHLer16%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.50 P/GP

    0 G, 3 A in 6 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    8 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −3%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    22.2

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #219

    2022, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    31 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonArizona State Univ.NCAA60330.50
Last seasonUniv. of North DakotaNCAA3558130.37