Prospect board, #309 overall
Dans Locmelis
Centre, 22.6 years old, Providence Bruins (AHL), 6′0″ 181 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
28%
Scouting report
Dans Locmelis is a 22-year-old centre with Providence Bruins in the AHL, a Boston Bruins fourth-round pick, 119 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 3 assists in 7 games, 0.43 a game, which works out to about 14 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.4 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.56 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 181 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 28% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 2% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 35 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer9%
- Fourth-liner28%
- Tweener48%
- AHLer (most likely)93%
How he got there
1His line
0.43 P/GP
0 G, 3 A in 7 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
14 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+28%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#119
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
35 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Providence Bruins | AHL | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.43 |
| Last season | Providence Bruins | AHL | 42 | 15 | 13 | 28 | 0.67 |