Prospect board, #854 overall
Arseni Koromyslov
Defence, 22.9 years old, Springfield Thunderbirds (AHL), 6′3″ 180 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
13%
Scouting report
Arseni Koromyslov is a 22-year-old defenceman with Springfield Thunderbirds in the AHL, a St Louis Blues fourth-round pick, 120 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 6 games, 0.17 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.2 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 180 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 13% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair2%
- Second-pair4%
- Third-pair13%
- Tweener21%
- AHLer45%
How he got there
1His line
0.17 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+22%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#120
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
25 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Springfield Thunderbirds | AHL | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 |
| Last season | Traktor Chelyabinsk | KHL | 61 | 1 | 16 | 17 | 0.28 |