GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2022 overall

Alexander Pelevin

Defence, 22.3 years old, Dizel Penza (VHL), 6′1″ 183 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

3%

Long shot

Scouting report

Alexander Pelevin is a 22-year-old defenceman with Dizel Penza in the VHL, a Carolina Hurricanes seventh-round pick, 205 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 10 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

That is down from 0.23 a game last season, and the projection drops with it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 183 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair<1%
  3. Second-pair<1%
  4. Third-pair3%
  5. Tweener4%
  6. AHLer4%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 10 games, VHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +3%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    22.3

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #205

    2022, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    23 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonTorpedo Nizhny NovgorodKHL10000.00
This seasonDizel PenzaVHL90000.00
Last seasonTorpedo-Gorky NNVHL4629110.24
Last seasonTorpedo Nizhny NovgorodKHL10000.00