Prospect board, #749 overall
Vsevolod Komarov
Defence, 22.7 years old, Rochester Americans (AHL), 6′4″ 211 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
13%
Scouting report
Vsevolod Komarov is a 22-year-old defenceman with Rochester Americans in the AHL, a Buffalo Sabres fifth-round pick, 134 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 3 assists in 6 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 211 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 13% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair1%
- Third-pair13%
- Tweener23%
- AHLer (most likely)84%
How he got there
1His line
0.50 P/GP
0 G, 3 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
16 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−4%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#134
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
20 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Rochester Americans | AHL | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.50 |
| Last season | Rochester Americans | AHL | 55 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 0.20 |