GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1027 overall

Nikita Yevseyev

Defence, 22.4 years old, Ak Bars Kazan (KHL), 6′1″ 187 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

9%

Long shot

Scouting report

Nikita Yevseyev is a 22-year-old defenceman with Ak Bars Kazan in the KHL, a Edmonton Oilers sixth-round pick, 190 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 3 assists in 16 games, 0.19 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 187 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 9% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair2%
  3. Second-pair3%
  4. Third-pair9%
  5. Tweener18%
  6. AHLer27%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.19 P/GP

    0 G, 3 A in 16 games, KHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    12 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +8%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    22.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #190

    2022, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    28 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonAk Bars KazanKHL160330.19
Last seasonAmur KhabarovskKHL61412160.26