Prospect board, #591 overall
Jake Furlong
Defence, 22.5 years old, Rockford IceHogs (AHL), 6′1″ 189 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
22%
Scouting report
Jake Furlong is a 22-year-old defenceman with Rockford IceHogs in the AHL, a Chicago Blackhawks fifth-round pick, 140 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 1.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.67 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 189 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 22% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair2%
- Third-pair22%
- Tweener35%
- AHLer (most likely)77%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+36%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#140
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
20 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Rockford IceHogs | AHL | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Rockford IceHogs | AHL | 42 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 0.26 |