Prospect board, #227 overall
Ben Hemmerling
Right wing, 22.4 years old, Henderson Silver Knights (AHL), 5′11″ 185 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
36%
Scouting report
Ben Hemmerling is a 22-year-old right wing with Henderson Silver Knights in the AHL, a Vegas Golden Knights sixth-round pick, 177 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 2 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 185 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 36% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a first-line career. If he makes it, figure about 37 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- First-liner4%
- Middle-sixer17%
- Fourth-liner36%
- Tweener (most likely)53%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.50 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 2 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
16 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+4%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#177
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
37 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Henderson Silver Knights | AHL | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.50 |
| Last season | Henderson Silver Knights | AHL | 68 | 21 | 29 | 50 | 0.74 |