GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1407 overall

Cameron O'Neill

Right wing, 22.6 years old, UMass (NCAA), 6′0″ 194 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

7%

Long shot

Scouting report

Cameron O'Neill is a 22-year-old right wing with UMass in the NCAA, a Ottawa Senators fifth-round pick, 143 overall in 2022. He has 5 goals and 9 assists in 31 games, 0.45 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. At 22.6 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 194 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer2%
  4. Fourth-liner7%
  5. Tweener8%
  6. AHLer31%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.45 P/GP

    5 G, 9 A in 31 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    7 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −4%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    22.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #143

    2022, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    32 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonUMassNCAA3159140.45