Prospect board, #690 overall
Jackson Dorrington
Defence, 22.4 years old, Hartford Wolf Pack (AHL), 6′2″ 215 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
15%
Scouting report
Jackson Dorrington is a 22-year-old defenceman with Hartford Wolf Pack in the AHL, a New York Rangers sixth-round pick, 176 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 6 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.1 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.69 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 215 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 15% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair2%
- Third-pair15%
- Tweener24%
- AHLer (most likely)87%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+28%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#176
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
21 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Hartford Wolf Pack | AHL | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Hartford Wolf Pack | AHL | 70 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0.16 |