GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #722 overall

Joey Muldowney

Right wing, 22.3 years old, Univ. of Connecticut (NCAA), 5′11″ 155 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

14%

AHLer

Scouting report

Joey Muldowney is a 22-year-old right wing with Univ. of Connecticut in the NCAA, a San Jose Sharks sixth-round pick, 172 overall in 2022. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. There are 6 other NHL draft picks on his roster.

It barely moves his projection. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 155 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 14% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer5%
  4. Fourth-liner14%
  5. Tweener28%
  6. AHLer (most likely)61%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.50 P/GP

    1 G, 1 A in 4 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    8 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −5%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    22.3

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #172

    2022, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    34 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonUniv. of ConnecticutNCAA41120.50
Last seasonUniv. of ConnecticutNCAA341712290.85