Prospect board, #1222 overall
Theo Wallberg
Defence, 22.8 years old, Western Michigan Univ. (NCAA), 6′4″ 214 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
12%
Scouting report
Theo Wallberg is a 22-year-old defenceman with Western Michigan Univ. in the NCAA, a Ottawa Senators sixth-round pick, 168 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 3 assists in 4 games, 0.75 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. At 22.8 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 214 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 12% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair1%
- Third-pair12%
- Tweener13%
- AHLer28%
How he got there
1His line
0.75 P/GP
0 G, 3 A in 4 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
12 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−3%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.8
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#168
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
20 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Western Michigan Univ. | NCAA | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.75 |
| Last season | Western Michigan Univ. | NCAA | 37 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 0.38 |