GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #721 overall

Barrett Hall

Centre, 22.7 years old, Univ. of Minnesota-Duluth (NCAA), 6′1″ 167 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

11%

AHLer

Scouting report

Barrett Hall is a 22-year-old centre with Univ. of Minnesota-Duluth in the NCAA, a Seattle Kraken sixth-round pick, 164 overall in 2022. He has 3 goals and 1 assist in 6 games, 0.67 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. At 22.7 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 167 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer7%
  4. Fourth-liner11%
  5. Tweener25%
  6. AHLer (most likely)65%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.67 P/GP

    3 G, 1 A in 6 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    10 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +5%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    22.7

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #164

    2022, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    41 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonUniv. of Minnesota-DuluthNCAA63140.67
Last seasonSt. Cloud State Univ.NCAA361018280.78