Prospect board, #447 overall
Marc-Andre Gaudet
Defence, 22.9 years old, Springfield Thunderbirds (AHL), 6′3″ 196 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
23%
Scouting report
Marc-Andre Gaudet is a 22-year-old defenceman with Springfield Thunderbirds in the AHL, a St Louis Blues fifth-round pick, 152 overall in 2022. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 4 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.2 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 196 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 23% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair1%
- Second-pair4%
- Third-pair23%
- Tweener44%
- AHLer (most likely)95%
How he got there
1His line
0.50 P/GP
0 G, 2 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
16 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+22%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#152
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
21 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Springfield Thunderbirds | AHL | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.50 |
| Last season | Springfield Thunderbirds | AHL | 53 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 0.38 |