Prospect board, #165 overall
Sandis Vilmanis
Left wing, 22.6 years old, Charlotte Checkers (AHL), 6′1″ 192 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
43%
Scouting report
Sandis Vilmanis is a 22-year-old left wing with Charlotte Checkers in the AHL, a Florida Panthers fifth-round pick, 157 overall in 2022. He has 17 goals and 21 assists in 48 games, 0.79 a game, which works out to about 25 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. The five best scorers around him average only 0.68 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 192 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 43% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 36 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- First-liner3%
- Middle-sixer21%
- Fourth-liner43%
- Tweener (most likely)71%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.79 P/GP
17 G, 21 A in 48 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
25 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+8%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#157
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
37 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Charlotte Checkers | AHL | 48 | 17 | 21 | 38 | 0.79 |