Prospect board, #1282 overall
Vladimir Grudinin
Defence, 22.8 years old, Severstal Cherepovets (KHL), 5′10″ 158 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
5%
Scouting report
Vladimir Grudinin is a 22-year-old defenceman with Severstal Cherepovets in the KHL, a Carolina Hurricanes fifth-round pick, 156 overall in 2022. He has 1 goal and 4 assists in 16 games, 0.31 a game, which works out to about 20 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 158 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair1%
- Second-pair3%
- Third-pair5%
- Tweener15%
- AHLer25%
How he got there
1His line
0.31 P/GP
1 G, 4 A in 16 games, KHL
2League exchange rate
20 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+3%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.8
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#156
2022, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
30 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Severstal Cherepovets | KHL | 16 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0.31 |
| Last season | Severstal Cherepovets | KHL | 53 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 0.21 |