Cole Knuble

Right wing, 22.2 years old, Lehigh Valley Phantoms (AHL), 5′10″ 184 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

24%

AHLer

Scouting report

Cole Knuble is a 22-year-old right wing with Lehigh Valley Phantoms in the AHL, a Philadelphia Flyers fourth-round pick, 103 overall in 2023. He has 1 goal and 3 assists in 6 games, 0.67 a game, which works out to about 21 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 184 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 24% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner3%
Middle-sixer15%
Fourth-liner24%
Tweener42%
AHLer (most likely)76%

How he got there

1His line
0.67 P/GP
1 G, 3 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
21 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−10%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#103
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Lehigh Valley Phantoms	AHL	6	1	3	4	0.67
Last season	Lehigh Valley Phantoms	AHL	7	1	2	3	0.43
Last season	Univ. of Notre Dame	NCAA	36	9	22	31	0.86