Prospect board, #394 overall
Atley Calvert
Centre, 23.0 years old, Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins (AHL), 6′1″ 203 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
27%
Scouting report
Atley Calvert is a 23-year-old centre with Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins in the AHL, on the Pittsburgh Penguins prospect list. He has 3 goals and 5 assists in 6 games, 1.33 a game, which works out to about 43 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.2 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.23 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 203 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 27% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 31 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer6%
- Fourth-liner27%
- Tweener41%
- AHLer (most likely)94%
How he got there
1His line
1.33 P/GP
3 G, 5 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
43 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−18%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
23.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | AHL | 6 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1.33 |
| Last season | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | AHL | 70 | 16 | 22 | 38 | 0.54 |