Prospect board, #1148 overall
Austin Roest
Right wing, 22.6 years old, Milwaukee Admirals (AHL), 5′10″ 184 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
5%
Scouting report
Austin Roest is a 22-year-old right wing with Milwaukee Admirals in the AHL, a Nashville Predators sixth-round pick, 175 overall in 2023. He has 1 goal and 6 assists in 41 games, 0.17 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 184 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner5%
- Tweener9%
- AHLer (most likely)65%
How he got there
1His line
0.17 P/GP
1 G, 6 A in 41 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−2%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#175
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Milwaukee Admirals | AHL | 41 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 0.17 |