GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #314 overall

Beau Akey

Defence, 21.6 years old, Bakersfield Condors (AHL), 6′0″ 193 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

40%

Tweener

Scouting report

Beau Akey is a 21-year-old defenceman with Bakersfield Condors in the AHL, a Edmonton Oilers second-round pick, 56 overall in 2023. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 193 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 40% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 20 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair1%
  3. Second-pair4%
  4. Third-pair40%
  5. Tweener (most likely)54%
  6. AHLer84%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    No change

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    21.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #56

    2023, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    20 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonBakersfield CondorsAHL40000.00
Last seasonBakersfield CondorsAHL4228100.24