Prospect board, #399 overall
Cam Allen
Defence, 21.7 years old, Hershey Bears (AHL), 6′0″ 194 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
28%
Scouting report
Cam Allen is a 21-year-old defenceman with Hershey Bears in the AHL, a Washington Capitals fifth-round pick, 136 overall in 2023. He has 1 goal and 4 assists in 5 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 32 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 194 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 28% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 25 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair2%
- Second-pair9%
- Third-pair28%
- Tweener38%
- AHLer (most likely)78%
How he got there
1His line
1.00 P/GP
1 G, 4 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
32 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+2%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#136
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
25 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Hershey Bears | AHL | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1.00 |
| Last season | Hershey Bears | AHL | 22 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0.32 |