Prospect board, #159 overall
Denver Barkey
Centre, 21.4 years old, Lehigh Valley Phantoms (AHL), 5′10″ 171 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
45%
Scouting report
Denver Barkey is a 21-year-old centre with Lehigh Valley Phantoms in the AHL, a Philadelphia Flyers third-round pick, 95 overall in 2023. He has 7 goals and 9 assists in 26 games, 0.62 a game, which works out to about 20 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
At 21.4 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 171 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a tweener, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 45% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 6% of a first-line career and 2% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 40 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- First-liner6%
- Middle-sixer25%
- Fourth-liner45%
- Tweener (most likely)52%
- AHLer91%
How he got there
1His line
0.62 P/GP
7 G, 9 A in 26 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
20 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+7%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#95
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | AHL | 26 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 0.62 |