Prospect board, #91 overall
Oliver Bonk
Defence, 21.7 years old, Lehigh Valley Phantoms (AHL), 6′2″ 180 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
61%
Scouting report
Oliver Bonk is a 21-year-old defenceman with Lehigh Valley Phantoms in the AHL, a Philadelphia Flyers first-round pick, 22 overall in 2023. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 2 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 32 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 180 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a third-pair defenceman, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 61% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 10% of a top-pair career and 3% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 28 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A third-pair job tends to come down to defending more than points.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite3%
- Top-pair10%
- Second-pair29%
- Third-pair (most likely)61%
- Tweener84%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
1.00 P/GP
0 G, 2 A in 2 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
32 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−13%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
21.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#22
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
28 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | AHL | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1.00 |
| Last season | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | AHL | 46 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 0.41 |