Mathieu Cataford

Centre, 21.5 years old, Henderson Silver Knights (AHL), 6′0″ 200 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

AHLer

Scouting report

Mathieu Cataford is a 21-year-old centre with Henderson Silver Knights in the AHL, a Vegas Golden Knights third-round pick, 77 overall in 2023. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 200 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 8% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner<1%
Middle-sixer2%
Fourth-liner8%
Tweener15%
AHLer (most likely)81%

How he got there

1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+4%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#77
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Henderson Silver Knights	AHL	5	0	0	0	0.00
Last season	Henderson Silver Knights	AHL	59	3	10	13	0.22