Prospect board, #1715 overall
Alex Ciernik
Left wing, 21.9 years old, Lehigh Valley Phantoms (AHL), 5′11″ 176 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
4%
Scouting report
Alex Ciernik is a 21-year-old left wing with Lehigh Valley Phantoms in the AHL, a Philadelphia Flyers fourth-round pick, 120 overall in 2023. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 176 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer1%
- Fourth-liner4%
- Tweener6%
- AHLer13%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−13%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
21.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#120
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
35 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | AHL | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Pelicans | LIIGA | 19 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.16 |
| Last season | Nybro Vikings IF | ALLSVENSKAN | 21 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0.24 |