Prospect board, #277 overall
Lukas Dragicevic
Defence, 21.4 years old, Coachella Valley Firebirds (AHL), 6′1″ 206 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
44%
Scouting report
Lukas Dragicevic is a 21-year-old defenceman with Coachella Valley Firebirds in the AHL, a Seattle Kraken second-round pick, 57 overall in 2023. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 7 games, 0.29 a game, which works out to about 9 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.7 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.26 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back.
At 21.4 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 206 pounds. His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 44% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 21 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair2%
- Second-pair5%
- Third-pair44%
- Tweener (most likely)53%
- AHLer83%
How he got there
1His line
0.29 P/GP
0 G, 2 A in 7 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
9 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−19%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
21.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#57
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
21 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Coachella Valley Firebirds | AHL | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.29 |
| Last season | Coachella Valley Firebirds | AHL | 43 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 0.26 |