GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #96 overall

Oscar Fisker Molgaard

Centre, 21.6 years old, Coachella Valley Firebirds (AHL), 6′0″ 182 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

54%

Fourth-liner

Scouting report

Oscar Fisker Molgaard is a 21-year-old centre with Coachella Valley Firebirds in the AHL, a Seattle Kraken second-round pick, 52 overall in 2023. He has 1 goal and 2 assists in 6 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 182 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 54% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 11% of a first-line career and 4% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 41 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite4%
  2. First-liner11%
  3. Middle-sixer29%
  4. Fourth-liner (most likely)54%
  5. Tweener82%
  6. AHLer95%+

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.50 P/GP

    1 G, 2 A in 6 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    16 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    No change

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    21.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #52

    2023, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    41 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHL61230.50
Last seasonCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHL491024340.69