Prospect board, #64 overall
Lenni Hameenaho
Right wing, 21.9 years old, Utica Comets (AHL), 6′1″ 195 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
75%
Scouting report
Lenni Hameenaho is a 21-year-old right wing with Utica Comets in the AHL, a New Jersey Devils second-round pick, 58 overall in 2023. He has 3 goals and 2 assists in 4 games, 1.25 a game, which works out to about 40 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.0 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 195 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 75% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 13% of a first-line career and 5% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 40 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite5%
- First-liner13%
- Middle-sixer38%
- Fourth-liner (most likely)75%
- Tweener89%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
1.25 P/GP
3 G, 2 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
40 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+25%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#58
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Utica Comets | AHL | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1.25 |
| Last season | Utica Comets | AHL | 37 | 10 | 16 | 26 | 0.70 |