GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1009 overall

Beckett Hendrickson

Centre, 21.2 years old, Univ. of Minnesota (NCAA), 6′2″ 174 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

11%

Long shot

Scouting report

Beckett Hendrickson is a 21-year-old centre with Univ. of Minnesota in the NCAA, a Boston Bruins fourth-round pick, 124 overall in 2023. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 174 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer3%
  4. Fourth-liner11%
  5. Tweener16%
  6. AHLer40%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.50 P/GP

    1 G, 1 A in 4 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    8 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −1%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    21.2

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #124

    2023, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonUniv. of MinnesotaNCAA41120.50
Last seasonUniv. of MinnesotaNCAA36713200.56