GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1048 overall

Jaden Lipinski

Centre, 21.8 years old, Univ. of Maine (NCAA), 6′4″ 204 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

12%

Long shot

Scouting report

Jaden Lipinski is a 21-year-old centre with Univ. of Maine in the NCAA, a Calgary Flames fourth-round pick, 112 overall in 2023. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 3 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 204 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 12% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer3%
  4. Fourth-liner12%
  5. Tweener13%
  6. AHLer38%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 3 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +10%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    21.8

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #112

    2023, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    31 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonUniv. of MaineNCAA30000.00
Last seasonUniv. of MaineNCAA3039120.40