Prospect board, #687 overall
Aram Minnetian
Defence, 21.5 years old, Texas Stars (AHL), 5′11″ 192 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
23%
Scouting report
Aram Minnetian is a 21-year-old defenceman with Texas Stars in the AHL, a Dallas Stars fourth-round pick, 125 overall in 2023. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 6 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 192 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 23% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair1%
- Second-pair3%
- Third-pair23%
- Tweener27%
- AHLer50%
How he got there
1His line
0.33 P/GP
1 G, 1 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
11 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+17%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#125
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
21 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Texas Stars | AHL | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.33 |
| Last season | Texas Stars | AHL | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.38 |
| Last season | Boston College | NCAA | 36 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0.31 |