GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #425 overall

Martin Misiak

Right wing, 22.0 years old, Rockford IceHogs (AHL), 6′2″ 194 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

29%

AHLer

Scouting report

Martin Misiak is a 21-year-old right wing with Rockford IceHogs in the AHL, a Chicago Blackhawks second-round pick, 55 overall in 2023. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 1.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.67 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 194 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 29% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 28 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer3%
  4. Fourth-liner29%
  5. Tweener42%
  6. AHLer (most likely)93%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +36%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    22.0

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #55

    2023, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    28 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonRockford IceHogsAHL40000.00
Last seasonRockford IceHogsAHL63411150.24