Prospect board, #33 overall
Quentin Musty
Left wing, 21.2 years old, San Jose Barracuda (AHL), 6′2″ 205 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
72%
Scouting report
Quentin Musty is a 21-year-old left wing with San Jose Barracuda in the AHL, a San Jose Sharks first-round pick, 26 overall in 2023. He has 21 goals and 24 assists in 61 games, 0.74 a game, which works out to about 24 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
At 21.2 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 205 pounds. His most likely outcome is a middle-sixer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 72% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 25% of a first-line career and 8% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 48 points a season at his best. Moving up a tier would take scoring well above his league's top-line rate.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite8%
- First-liner25%
- Middle-sixer (most likely)53%
- Fourth-liner72%
- Tweener93%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.74 P/GP
21 G, 24 A in 61 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
24 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−2%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
21.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#26
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
49 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | San Jose Barracuda | AHL | 61 | 21 | 24 | 45 | 0.74 |