Prospect board, #12 overall
Bradly Nadeau
Left wing, 21.4 years old, Chicago Wolves (AHL), 5′11″ 180 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
89%
Scouting report
Bradly Nadeau is a 21-year-old left wing with Chicago Wolves in the AHL, a Carolina Hurricanes first-round pick, 30 overall in 2023. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 1.7 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.40 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up.
At 21.4 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 180 pounds. His most likely outcome is a first-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 89% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 54% of a first-line career and 17% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 58 points a season at his best. If the scoring holds up against older players, the first-line odds go up with it.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite17%
- First-liner (most likely)54%
- Middle-sixer75%
- Fourth-liner89%
- Tweener95%+
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.25 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+44%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#30
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
58 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Chicago Wolves | AHL | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 |
| Last season | Chicago Wolves | AHL | 52 | 27 | 29 | 56 | 1.08 |