Jayden Perron

Right wing, 21.7 years old, Univ. of Michigan (NCAA), 5′9″ 168 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

24%

AHLer

Scouting report

Jayden Perron is a 21-year-old right wing with Univ. of Michigan in the NCAA, a Carolina Hurricanes third-round pick, 94 overall in 2023. He has 9 goals and 6 assists in 6 games, 2.50 a game, which works out to about 39 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. Listed at 5-foot-9 and 168 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 24% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite1%
First-liner3%
Middle-sixer13%
Fourth-liner24%
Tweener45%
AHLer (most likely)77%

How he got there

1His line
2.50 P/GP
9 G, 6 A in 6 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
39 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−5%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
21.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#94
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
39 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Univ. of Michigan	NCAA	6	9	6	15	2.50
Last season	Univ. of Michigan	NCAA	40	18	23	41	1.02