Prospect board, #573 overall
Emil Pieniniemi
Defence, 21.5 years old, Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins (AHL), 6′3″ 191 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
24%
Scouting report
Emil Pieniniemi is a 21-year-old defenceman with Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins in the AHL, a Florida Panthers third-round pick, 91 overall in 2023. He has 1 goal and 2 assists in 9 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 191 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 24% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair2%
- Second-pair3%
- Third-pair24%
- Tweener35%
- AHLer (most likely)63%
How he got there
1His line
0.33 P/GP
1 G, 2 A in 9 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
11 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−4%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
21.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#91
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
21 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | AHL | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.33 |