Carson Rehkopf

Left wing, 21.7 years old, Coachella Valley Firebirds (AHL), 6′3″ 206 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

28%

AHLer

Scouting report

Carson Rehkopf is a 21-year-old left wing with Coachella Valley Firebirds in the AHL, a Seattle Kraken second-round pick, 50 overall in 2023. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 6 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.7 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.26 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 206 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 28% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 26 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner<1%
Middle-sixer1%
Fourth-liner28%
Tweener48%
AHLer (most likely)90%

How he got there

1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−19%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
21.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#50
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
27 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Coachella Valley Firebirds	AHL	6	0	0	0	0.00
Last season	Coachella Valley Firebirds	AHL	69	13	6	19	0.28