Eduard Sale

Left wing, 21.5 years old, Coachella Valley Firebirds (AHL), 6′2″ 181 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

66%

Fourth-liner

Scouting report

Eduard Sale is a 21-year-old left wing with Coachella Valley Firebirds in the AHL, a Seattle Kraken first-round pick, 20 overall in 2023. He has 3 goals and 1 assist in 7 games, 0.57 a game, which works out to about 18 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. The five best scorers around him average 1.26 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 181 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 66% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 11% of a first-line career and 4% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 38 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite4%
First-liner11%
Middle-sixer28%
Fourth-liner (most likely)66%
Tweener86%
AHLer95%+

How he got there

1His line
0.57 P/GP
3 G, 1 A in 7 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
18 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−14%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
21.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#20
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
38 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Coachella Valley Firebirds	AHL	7	3	1	4	0.57
Last season	Coachella Valley Firebirds	AHL	58	13	14	27	0.47