Prospect board, #1053 overall
Brandon Svoboda
Centre, 21.6 years old, Boston Univ. (NCAA), 6′3″ 205 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
10%
Scouting report
Brandon Svoboda is a 21-year-old centre with Boston Univ. in the NCAA, a Ottawa Senators third-round pick, 71 overall in 2023. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 4 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. There are 6 other NHL draft picks on his roster. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 205 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 10% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer3%
- Fourth-liner10%
- Tweener14%
- AHLer38%
How he got there
1His line
0.25 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 4 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
4 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−10%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
21.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#71
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
34 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Boston Univ. | NCAA | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 |
| Last season | Boston Univ. | NCAA | 35 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 0.43 |