Prospect board, #468 overall
Mikhail Gulyayev
Defence, 21.4 years old, Avangard Omsk (KHL), 5′10″ 172 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
23%
Scouting report
Mikhail Gulyayev is a 21-year-old defenceman with Avangard Omsk in the KHL, a Colorado Avalanche first-round pick, 31 overall in 2023. He has 2 goals and 6 assists in 15 games, 0.53 a game, which works out to about 34 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. That is up from 0.06 a game last season. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 172 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 23% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- Top-pair2%
- Second-pair3%
- Third-pair23%
- Tweener46%
- AHLer (most likely)78%
How he got there
1His line
0.53 P/GP
2 G, 6 A in 15 games, KHL
2League exchange rate
34 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+3%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#31
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
22 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Avangard Omsk | KHL | 15 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0.53 |
| Last season | Avangard Omsk | KHL | 54 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.06 |