Prospect board, #35 overall
Roman Kantserov
Right wing, 22.0 years old, Metallurg Magnitogorsk (KHL), 5′9″ 176 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
66%
Scouting report
Roman Kantserov is a 21-year-old right wing with Metallurg Magnitogorsk in the KHL, a Chicago Blackhawks second-round pick, 44 overall in 2023. He has 36 goals and 28 assists in 63 games, 1.02 a game, which works out to about 64 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. Listed at 5-foot-9 and 176 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 66% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 34% of a first-line career and 13% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 52 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite13%
- First-liner34%
- Middle-sixer43%
- Fourth-liner (most likely)66%
- Tweener88%
- AHLer88%
How he got there
1His line
1.02 P/GP
36 G, 28 A in 63 games, KHL
2League exchange rate
64 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+1%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#44
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
52 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Metallurg Magnitogorsk | KHL | 63 | 36 | 28 | 64 | 1.02 |