GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #34 overall

Felix Unger Sörum

Right wing, 21.0 years old, Chicago Wolves (AHL), 6′0″ 190 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

63%

Fourth-liner

Scouting report

Felix Unger Sörum is a 21-year-old right wing with Chicago Wolves in the AHL, a Carolina Hurricanes second-round pick, 62 overall in 2023. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 4 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 1.7 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.40 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it.

At 21.0 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 190 pounds. His most likely outcome is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 63% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 36% of a first-line career and 7% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 54 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite7%
  2. First-liner36%
  3. Middle-sixer50%
  4. Fourth-liner (most likely)63%
  5. Tweener88%
  6. AHLer95%+

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.25 P/GP

    0 G, 1 A in 4 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    8 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +44%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    21.0

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #62

    2023, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    54 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonChicago WolvesAHL40110.25
Last seasonChicago WolvesAHL721749660.92