Prospect board, #562 overall
Jiri Felcman
Centre, 21.4 years old, Rockford IceHogs (AHL), 6′4″ 198 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
16%
Scouting report
Jiri Felcman is a 21-year-old centre with Rockford IceHogs in the AHL, a Chicago Blackhawks third-round pick, 93 overall in 2023. He has 1 goal and 3 assists in 6 games, 0.67 a game, which works out to about 21 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 1.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.60 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 198 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 16% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a first-line career. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- First-liner4%
- Middle-sixer11%
- Fourth-liner16%
- Tweener29%
- AHLer (most likely)56%
How he got there
1His line
0.67 P/GP
1 G, 3 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
21 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+40%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#93
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
44 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Rockford IceHogs | AHL | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.67 |
| Last season | Rockford IceHogs | AHL | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.29 |
| Last season | SCL Tigers | NL | 52 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 0.38 |