GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #678 overall

Alexander Rykov

Right wing, 21.2 years old, Traktor Chelyabinsk (KHL), 6′0″ 176 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

14%

Long shot

Scouting report

Alexander Rykov is a 21-year-old right wing with Traktor Chelyabinsk in the KHL, a Carolina Hurricanes fourth-round pick, 100 overall in 2023. He has 1 goal and 4 assists in 15 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 21 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 176 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 14% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a first-line career. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite1%
  2. First-liner4%
  3. Middle-sixer6%
  4. Fourth-liner14%
  5. Tweener30%
  6. AHLer44%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.33 P/GP

    1 G, 4 A in 15 games, KHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    21 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +15%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    21.2

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #100

    2023, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    41 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonTraktor ChelyabinskKHL151450.33
Last seasonTraktor ChelyabinskKHL5687150.27
Last seasonChelmet ChelyabinskVHL43251.25