Prospect board, #310 overall
Florian Xhekaj
Left wing, 22.2 years old, Laval Rocket (AHL), 6′3″ 195 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
34%
Scouting report
Florian Xhekaj is a 22-year-old left wing with Laval Rocket in the AHL, a Montreal Canadiens fourth-round pick, 101 overall in 2023. He has 17 goals and 12 assists in 64 games, 0.45 a game, which works out to about 14 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 195 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 34% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 30 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer7%
- Fourth-liner34%
- Tweener49%
- AHLer (most likely)95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.45 P/GP
17 G, 12 A in 64 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
15 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#101
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Laval Rocket | AHL | 64 | 17 | 12 | 29 | 0.45 |