Prospect board, #391 overall
Joey Willis
Centre, 21.5 years old, Milwaukee Admirals (AHL), 5′11″ 184 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
27%
Scouting report
Joey Willis is a 21-year-old centre with Milwaukee Admirals in the AHL, a Nashville Predators fourth-round pick, 111 overall in 2023. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 1 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 184 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 27% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 30 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer5%
- Fourth-liner27%
- Tweener42%
- AHLer (most likely)95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 1 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+10%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#111
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Milwaukee Admirals | AHL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Milwaukee Admirals | AHL | 56 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 0.39 |