GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #657 overall

Andrei Loshko

Centre, 21.9 years old, Coachella Valley Firebirds (AHL), 6′1″ 181 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

17%

AHLer

Scouting report

Andrei Loshko is a 21-year-old centre with Coachella Valley Firebirds in the AHL, a Seattle Kraken fourth-round pick, 116 overall in 2023. He has 5 goals and 9 assists in 51 games, 0.27 a game, which works out to about 9 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 181 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 17% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer2%
  4. Fourth-liner17%
  5. Tweener28%
  6. AHLer (most likely)85%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.27 P/GP

    5 G, 9 A in 51 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    9 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −5%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    21.9

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #116

    2023, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    28 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHL5159140.27