Prospect board, #689 overall
Sam Harris
Left wing, 22.9 years old, Univ. of Denver (NCAA), 5′11″ 180 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
12%
Scouting report
Sam Harris is a 22-year-old left wing with Univ. of Denver in the NCAA, a Montreal Canadiens fifth-round pick, 133 overall in 2023. He has 3 goals and 1 assist in 4 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. At 22.9 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 180 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 12% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer5%
- Fourth-liner12%
- Tweener31%
- AHLer (most likely)66%
How he got there
1His line
1.00 P/GP
3 G, 1 A in 4 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
16 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−3%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#133
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
36 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Univ. of Denver | NCAA | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.00 |
| Last season | Univ. of Denver | NCAA | 43 | 15 | 20 | 35 | 0.81 |