Prospect board, #665 overall
Jacob Julien
Centre, 22.0 years old, Manitoba Moose (AHL), 6′4″ 181 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
17%
Scouting report
Jacob Julien is a 22-year-old centre with Manitoba Moose in the AHL, a Winnipeg Jets fifth-round pick, 146 overall in 2023. He has 1 goal and 4 assists in 6 games, 0.83 a game, which works out to about 27 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.8 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.23 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 181 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 17% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer4%
- Fourth-liner17%
- Tweener27%
- AHLer (most likely)72%
How he got there
1His line
0.83 P/GP
1 G, 4 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
27 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−27%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#146
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Manitoba Moose | AHL | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0.83 |
| Last season | Manitoba Moose | AHL | 31 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0.23 |